Scientists have crunched the numbers and have declared when the coronavirus pandemic will end in Yucatan.
Mark your calendars: the pandemic ends Aug. 14, 2021 according to Conacyt, Mexico’s Council of Science and Technology.
In a report called “Estimates of the Gompertz Model for the States and Metropolitan Zones of Mexico,” another key date was offered: the peak of the curve will be Oct. 10, 2020 in Yucatan. Puebla, however, is expected to reach its peak in just days, by July 25.
The report was authored by the Conacyt’s Center for Research in Mathematics, which used Health Secretariat data. Yucatan was among 15 states seen as living with coronavirus into 2021. In fact, Yucatan was among the last states to break free, even after Quintana Roo.
Yucatan, Campeche, Quintana Roo, Tabasco, Aguascalientes, Baja California Sur, Coahuila, Colima, Guanajuato, Nayarit, Nuevo León, Puebla, San Luis Potosí, Tamaulipas and Zacatecas would be the last states to be free of the pandemic, according to the report.
Yucatan is among the states with the highest number of estimated cases, both detected and undetected by medical personnel. While testing reveals a fraction of the real number of infections, researchers believe Coahuila — which in September 2021 would be the last state to recover — will see 224,806 people with COVID-19. Yucatan will record 64,781 infections before the pandemic ends, researchers calculated.