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Saturday, September 24, 2022

Rough weather headed to the Gulf of Mexico; path uncertain

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The National Hurricane Center’s tropical weather outlook map at 8 a.m. Friday.

A disturbance in the Caribbean and another in the Atlantic have gotten the attention of hurricane forecasters.

After an unusually long period of inactivity, long-range forecast models predict the earlier of two current storm systems will enter the Gulf of Mexico next week. All bets are off for the second disturbance.

The low-pressure trough is crossing the eastern Caribbean Sea at 15 mph, according to the Miami-based National Hurricane Center.

Environmental conditions could become more conducive for its gradual strengthening early next week, forecasters said.

It has a 20% chance of developing into at least a tropical depression within five days. It’s too early to have a firm grasp on what will happen next.

The Global Forecast System, or GFS model, has shown the Caribbean disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico as a storm late next week. Landfall could be anywhere along the Gulf Coast from northern Mexico to Florida.

The next tropical storm or hurricane will be called Danielle.

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