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Tuesday, December 6, 2022

Stormy late August, early September is predicted for Yucatan Peninsula

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A tropical wave is headed toward the Yucatan Peninsula, bringing heavy rain and gusty winds by Tuesday morning, according to the National Hurrican Center in Miami.

The weather system is one of two potential tropical depressions making their way west across the Atlantic.

It is producing disorganized thunderstorms and gusty winds over the eastern Caribbean Sea, according to the hurricane center’s Tuesday morning advisory.

Forecasters say it has a 20% chance of upgrading to a depression in the next two days, but its odds are higher, 60%, for developing later in the week or during the weekend when it reaches the northwestern Caribbean Sea.

The other wave is about 900 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands and is producing a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms, according to the hurricane center.

While it is still thousands of miles away from the Caribbean, forecasters said it might “interact” with the first wave and spin up into a depression by the end of this week.

“Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic,” forecasters wrote.

Forecasters say the system’s chances of strengthening in the next two days are high at 70% and even higher at 90% within the next five days.

The latest projected path of the second wave has moved slightly more north. It’s far too early to tell where or when the storm could come.

NOAA has projected the 2020 hurricane season could be one of the most active of all times, with 19 to 25 named storms occurring. So far, there have been 11 named storms, two of which were hurricanes at one point. The next two names on the list are Laura and Marco.

With information from The Associated Press

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