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Monday, August 2, 2021
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Offshore cyclones possible by Saturday, weather forecasters warn

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NOAA GOES-East IR Satellite loop from Sunday morning through Sunday evening. Image: WHNT News 19


Merida, Yucatán — Unsettled weather will continue, and weather forecasters are keeping their eyes on a system forming over the Atlantic Basin.

While there is no tropical activity brewing right now in the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico, “tropical development” is a possibility, according to NOAA.

Long-range guidance suggests possible hurricanes somewhere in the western Caribbean or near the Yucatan Peninsula between Saturday, June 17 and Friday, June 23.

Satellite data Sunday showed a flare-up of thunderstorms over the Yucatán Peninsula and central Gulf of Mexico, but neither of these areas are suspected of becoming tropical cyclones.

Forecast of tropical low centers from the GEFS valid Sunday, June 18. Image: WeatherBell Analytics

The American GFS model and its European counterpart have been very consistent in showing some kind of a tropical low in this region during this time period, writes Jake Reed of Huntsville, Ala.,’s WHNT News 19.

Each of these models run several times a day and each one is differing slightly on position and strength of the system.

“There is no reason to panic or cancel any plans right now, but be aware that this is something you will start to hear more about in coming days and weeks, especially if this trend continues,” writes Reed.

“Tropical development is not unheard of in the Gulf of Mexico during June, so we cannot totally take this possibility off the table right now.”

The rainy season has been just that, dampening outdoor activities during Noche Blanca on Saturday. Afternoon thunderstorms are predicted daily in the week ahead.

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